In proof theory, ordinal analysis assigns ordinals (often large countable ordinals) to mathematical theories as a measure of their strength. The field was formed when Gerhard Gentzen in 1934 used cut elimination to prove, in modern terms, that the proof theoretic ordinal of Peano arithmetic is ε0.
Ordinal analysis concerns true, effective (recursive) theories that can interpret a sufficient portion of arithmetic to make statements about ordinal notations. The proof theoretic ordinal of such a theory is the smallest recursive ordinal that the theory cannot prove is well founded — the supremum of all ordinals
for which there exists a notation
in Kleene's sense such that
proves that
is an ordinal notation. Equivalently, it is the supremum of all ordinals
such that there exists a recursive relation
on
(the set of natural numbers) which well-orders it with ordinal
and such that
proves transfinite induction of arithmetical statements for
.
The existence of any recursive ordinal which the theory fails to prove is well ordered follows from the bounding theorem, as the set of natural numbers which an effective theory proves to be ordinal notations is a
set (see Hyperarithmetical theory). Thus the proof theoretic ordinal of a theory will always be a countable ordinal less than the Church-Kleene ordinal
.
In practice, the proof theoretic ordinal of a theory is a good measure of the strength of a theory. If theories have the same proof theoretic ordinal they are often equiconsistent, and if one theory has a larger proof theoretic ordinal than another it can often prove the consistency of the second theory.
Friedman's grand conjecture suggests that much "ordinary" mathematics can be proved in weak systems having this as their proof-theoretic ordinal.
This ordinal is sometimes considered to be the upper limit for "predicative" theories.
Most theories capable of describing the power set of the natural numbers have proof theoretic ordinals that are (as of 2008[update]) so large that no explicit combinatorial description has yet been given. This includes second order arithmetic and set theories with powersets. (Kripke-Platek set theory mentioned above is a weak set theory without power sets.)